Chelmsford City vs Heybridge Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2005 |
YEA
2 - 0
CHM
65%
20%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
HAM
1 - 1
CHM
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
CHM
1 - 0
HAR
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
CHM
1 - 0
NOR
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
CHM
2 - 1
FOL
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
WEF
3 - 3
HEY
46%
24%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
HEY
2 - 2
CHE
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
BRA
3 - 0
HEY
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
HEY
5 - 2
HEN
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
BIL
4 - 1
HEY
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |