National League South . Jor. 21

Chelmsford City vs Dartford analysis

Chelmsford City Dartford
47 ELO 49
-6.4% Tilt -7.1%
3076º General ELO ranking 4980º
108º Country ELO ranking 225º
ELO win probability
35.3%
Chelmsford City
25%
Draw
39.6%
Dartford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
Chelmsford City
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.6%
Win probability
Dartford
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chelmsford City
+17%
-37%
Dartford

Points and table prediction

Chelmsford City
Their league position
Dartford
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
14º
82
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Chelmsford City
Dartford
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
83% 100%
Next round
17% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chelmsford City
Dartford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chelmsford City
Chelmsford City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
WOR
Worthing
1 - 3
Chelmsford City
CHM
65%
20%
15%
45 52 7 0
19 Nov. 2022
CHM
Chelmsford City
2 - 1
Redditch United
RED
56%
24%
20%
44 39 5 +1
14 Nov. 2022
CHM
Chelmsford City
0 - 1
Barnet
BAR
33%
24%
43%
45 46 1 -1
12 Nov. 2022
CHM
Chelmsford City
0 - 2
Hampton & Richmond
HAM
64%
21%
15%
46 38 8 -1
07 Nov. 2022
CHM
Chelmsford City
0 - 0
Dover Athletic
DOV
68%
19%
13%
46 36 10 0

Matches

Dartford
Dartford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
DAR
Dartford
3 - 1
Concord Rangers
CON
72%
18%
10%
49 37 12 0
22 Nov. 2022
OXF
Oxford City
1 - 1
Dartford
DAR
45%
23%
32%
48 47 1 +1
19 Nov. 2022
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
4 - 0
Dartford
DAR
17%
21%
62%
50 38 12 -2
12 Nov. 2022
FAR
Farnborough
3 - 1
Dartford
DAR
30%
26%
45%
52 46 6 -2
05 Nov. 2022
DAR
Dartford
4 - 1
Braintree Town
BRA
55%
24%
21%
51 45 6 +1
X