National League South . Jor. 25

Chelmsford City vs Braintree Town analysis

Chelmsford City Braintree Town
45 ELO 46
-6.8% Tilt -6.4%
3075º General ELO ranking 3658º
108º Country ELO ranking 130º
ELO win probability
39.3%
Chelmsford City
25.7%
Draw
35%
Braintree Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
Chelmsford City
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35%
Win probability
Braintree Town
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chelmsford City
+17%
+40%
Braintree Town

Points and table prediction

Chelmsford City
Their league position
Braintree Town
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
14º
73
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Chelmsford City
Braintree Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
83% 0%
Next round
17% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chelmsford City
Braintree Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chelmsford City
Chelmsford City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2022
STA
St. Albans City
3 - 0
Chelmsford City
CHM
39%
26%
35%
46 44 2 0
06 Dec. 2022
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
2 - 1
Chelmsford City
CHM
22%
24%
54%
47 36 11 -1
03 Dec. 2022
CHM
Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Dartford
DAR
35%
25%
40%
47 49 2 0
26 Nov. 2022
WOR
Worthing
1 - 3
Chelmsford City
CHM
65%
20%
15%
45 52 7 +2
19 Nov. 2022
CHM
Chelmsford City
2 - 1
Redditch United
RED
56%
24%
20%
44 39 5 +1

Matches

Braintree Town
Braintree Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2022
FAR
Farnborough
2 - 2
Braintree Town
BRA
46%
25%
29%
46 48 2 0
06 Dec. 2022
BRA
Braintree Town
0 - 0
Oxford City
OXF
36%
26%
38%
46 48 2 0
03 Dec. 2022
TAU
Taunton Town
0 - 0
Braintree Town
BRA
49%
24%
27%
46 46 0 0
26 Nov. 2022
BRA
Braintree Town
3 - 2
Hungerford Town
HUN
70%
19%
11%
46 33 13 0
19 Nov. 2022
BRA
Braintree Town
1 - 0
Brackley Town
BRA
27%
26%
47%
44 51 7 +2
X