Chayka vs Kremin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
9º
3º
5
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
7% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 35 |
3º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
86% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
6º
|
86% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
61% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 9 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 6 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
67.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chayka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
FKC
27%
26%
48%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
MET
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
NYV
3 - 3
CHA
56%
24%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 4
FNB
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Kremin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 1
FNB
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
FKC
4 - 0
FKK
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 3
FCZ
26%
25%
48%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
FKK
0 - 2
VAM
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
MET
2 - 0
FKK
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -2 |