Chaves vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
27.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
JOA
1 - 3
CHA
14%
23%
62%
|
73 | 27 | 46 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
ESP
2 - 1
CHA
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1989 |
CHA
4 - 1
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
BOA
4 - 0
CHA
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
CHA
2 - 1
SCP
17%
27%
56%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1989 |
VIT
2 - 0
SPB
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1989 |
BMA
1 - 2
VIT
46%
28%
26%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
VIT
2 - 0
LEX
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
FCP
0 - 0
VIT
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
VIT
1 - 2
SLB
25%
30%
45%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |