Chaves vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
SCP
15%
23%
62%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 2
CHA
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
EST
27%
29%
44%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2016 |
FCP
2 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 3
CHA
12%
20%
68%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
SCP
15%
23%
62%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SCP
2 - 1
FEI
78%
16%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
VST
2 - 1
SCP
15%
20%
65%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
SCP
1 - 0
VAR
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
SCP
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |