Chaves vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
41%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 3
SAN
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 0
NAV
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SCF
2 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
BMA
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
EST
0 - 2
GFC
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 1
FEI
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 1
GFC
33%
30%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
GFC
0 - 2
AVE
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |