Chauray vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
46.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
1º
30
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
56% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ESO
1 - 0
CHA
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
LAT
14%
20%
66%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 0
SNA
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
PAN
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
3 - 1
SPG
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NIO
0 - 2
SPG
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
ASC
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LSD
0 - 0
SPG
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |