USL1 . Jor. 26

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Toronto II analysis

Chattanooga Red Wolves Toronto II
55 ELO 49
-3.4% Tilt -3.7%
4082º General ELO ranking 4197º
70º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
54.3%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
23.9%
Draw
21.8%
Toronto II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.8%
Win probability
Toronto II
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chattanooga Red Wolves
-23%
-33%
Toronto II

ELO progression

Chattanooga Red Wolves
Toronto II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chattanooga Red Wolves
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2021
CAR
North Carolina
2 - 3
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
35%
26%
39%
55 46 9 0
03 Oct. 2021
RIC
Richmond Kickers
1 - 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
30%
27%
43%
55 48 7 0
26 Sep. 2021
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 - 1
New England Revolution II
NER
53%
24%
23%
56 49 7 -1
19 Sep. 2021
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 - 1
North Carolina
CAR
57%
24%
20%
56 48 8 0
12 Sep. 2021
GTR
Greenville Triumph
1 - 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
36%
29%
35%
56 54 2 0

Matches

Toronto II
Toronto II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2021
TOR
Toronto II
1 - 0
New England Revolution II
NER
37%
25%
37%
48 51 3 0
01 Oct. 2021
TOR
Toronto II
3 - 0
North Carolina
CAR
48%
24%
28%
47 47 0 +1
26 Sep. 2021
RIC
Richmond Kickers
1 - 0
Toronto II
TOR
41%
25%
34%
48 47 1 -1
17 Sep. 2021
TOR
Toronto II
1 - 1
Forward Madison
FMA
35%
26%
39%
48 53 5 0
12 Sep. 2021
OMA
Union Omaha
2 - 1
Toronto II
TOR
57%
23%
19%
48 57 9 0
X