French League U19 Group C Round 15

Châteauroux U19 vs Lorient U19 analysis

Châteauroux U19 Lorient U19
23 ELO 32
-3.2% Tilt -4.1%
27178º General ELO ranking 7322º
611º Country ELO ranking 216º
ELO win probability
28.9%
Châteauroux U19
21.1%
Draw
50%
Lorient U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
Châteauroux U19
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
50%
Win probability
Lorient U19
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Châteauroux U19
-21%
-13%
Lorient U19

Points and table prediction

Châteauroux U19
Their league position
Lorient U19
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
12º
11º
56
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lorient U19
56
59
64.5%
Nantes U19
54
57
53.5%
Stade Rennais U19
55
55
89%
Angers SCO U19
43
44
74%
Stade Lavallois U19
44
44
74%
Stade Brestois U19
41
41
100%
Avranches U19
35
35
74%
Guingamp U19
33
33
56%
Girondins Bordeaux U19
31
32
82%
SA Mérignac U19
10º
27
27
10º
89%
Châteauroux U19
11º
26
26
11º
89%
Concarneau U19
12º
23
23
12º
100%
USSA Vertou U19
13º
23
23
13º
100%
Trélissac U19
14º
12
12
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Châteauroux U19
Lorient U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Châteauroux U19
Lorient U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Châteauroux U19
Châteauroux U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2023
ANG
Angers SCO U19
3 - 4
Châteauroux U19
CHA
75%
16%
10%
23 38 15 0
26 Nov. 2023
CHA
Châteauroux U19
1 - 1
Stade Brestois U19
STA
22%
22%
56%
23 33 10 0
19 Nov. 2023
REN
Stade Rennais U19
3 - 1
Châteauroux U19
CHA
77%
14%
9%
23 34 11 0
12 Nov. 2023
CHA
Châteauroux U19
2 - 0
Guingamp U19
GUI
45%
23%
32%
22 23 1 +1
05 Nov. 2023
TRE
Trélissac U19
3 - 2
Châteauroux U19
CHA
32%
23%
45%
23 18 5 -1

Matches

Lorient U19
Lorient U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2023
LOR
Lorient U19
5 - 0
Girondins Bordeaux U19
BOR
53%
22%
25%
29 29 0 0
26 Nov. 2023
LOR
Lorient U19
1 - 4
Angers SCO U19
ANG
39%
23%
38%
31 36 5 -2
18 Nov. 2023
NAN
Nantes U19
7 - 0
Lorient U19
LOR
72%
17%
12%
31 46 15 0
11 Nov. 2023
LOR
Lorient U19
3 - 2
Stade Brestois U19
STA
37%
22%
41%
30 35 5 +1
04 Nov. 2023
REN
Stade Rennais U19
0 - 1
Lorient U19
LOR
62%
18%
20%
29 34 5 +1