Chapulineros de Oaxaca vs La Paz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MZA
3 - 3
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
ZIT
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
CHA
42%
27%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CUA
3 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAF
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
La Paz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PAZ
2 - 2
CUA
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CAF
2 - 1
PAZ
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAZ
2 - 3
AGU
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
RCT
5 - 5
PAZ
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
PAZ
0 - 1
SFR
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |