Chapelton Maroons vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
14º
13º
22
1º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapelton Maroons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 0
CMF
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
CMF
0 - 1
FSC
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DFC
0 - 0
CMF
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CMF
0 - 3
MPA
30%
27%
44%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CMF
0 - 3
LIO
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 0
VER
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 2
ARN
37%
26%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
TRI
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 1
MOL
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 1
TRI
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |