Chapecoense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 2
TOM
50%
27%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
CHA
52%
27%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
OPE
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 1
CHA
44%
29%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
BAH
26%
30%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 3
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
6 - 0
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 1
NAU
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
4 - 3
TOM
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
NAU
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |