Chapecoense vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
26.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
SAM
44%
29%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
OPE
2 - 1
CHA
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
CRB
40%
29%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 1
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
CRI
51%
29%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
LON
0 - 0
CSA
37%
30%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
LON
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
LON
3 - 1
GUA
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
LON
0 - 1
VAS
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 2
LON
47%
28%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |