Recopa Sudamerica . Final
Global 3-5
Chapecoense vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 2
CHA
26%
26%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 1
BRU
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BOL
3 - 1
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 3
CHA
6%
14%
80%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAS
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
SFE
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
IND
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +5 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
BSC
2 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 5
NAC
34%
29%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |