Chapadão vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapadão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
OPE
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
COX
0 - 2
CHA
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AOU
2 - 0
CHA
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
COS
1 - 0
COX
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
COM
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OPE
0 - 1
COS
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CUI
2 - 0
COS
79%
15%
6%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |