Niort vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
NIO
0 - 0
VAN
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LUZ
1 - 1
NIO
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NIO
1 - 2
ORL
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
NIO
2 - 1
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
NIO
2 - 0
BRE
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
ORL
0 - 1
LUS
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 1
SPI
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 2
GIR
11%
21%
68%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
PFC
1 - 0
LUS
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FCM
1 - 3
LUS
22%
23%
55%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |