Niort vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
NIO
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
NIO
1 - 1
LHA
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
TOU
1 - 1
NIO
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
NIO
2 - 3
LHA
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
NIO
1 - 1
TRO
24%
28%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
ASN
1 - 0
ARL
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 0
CLE
37%
29%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
ARL
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
ARL
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
ARL
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |