SC Cham vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 2
STG
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
GCB
3 - 0
CHA
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
BAD
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 6
CHA
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
LUG
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
THU
1 - 3
ZUR
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
FCL
1 - 1
THU
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
THU
1 - 1
BAS
18%
22%
60%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SIO
1 - 1
THU
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
THU
3 - 0
STG
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |