Challans vs USSA Vertou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
10º
8º
50
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Challans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAV
3 - 2
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
SPG
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LPS
1 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 1
ACG
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NIO
1 - 2
CHA
45%
23%
31%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
USSA Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
USS
3 - 1
SNA
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
USS
11%
19%
71%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
USS
1 - 1
FON
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 1
USS
30%
23%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LAV
0 - 0
USS
37%
26%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |