Chalatenango vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
ONC
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 1
CHA
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 2
FIR
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 2
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 0
AGU
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FAS
0 - 0
ALI
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 0
FAS
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ALI
3 - 1
ONC
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |