Apertura Finals . Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Chalatenango vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAS
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UES
0 - 0
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
6 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
SFC
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 1
SFC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDD
0 - 3
ALI
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 2
MET
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
JUV
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALI
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |