Rio Cup . 1/16
Global 2-1
Maricá vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maricá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
FRI
3 - 2
CMA
42%
24%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
CMA
1 - 0
FRI
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
BON
1 - 0
FRI
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 0
ITA
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 0
FRI
13%
19%
67%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FRI
0 - 0
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRI
28%
24%
49%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |