Segunda RFEF . Jor. 23

Villanovense vs CD Diocesano analysis

Villanovense CD Diocesano
45 ELO 31
-28.4% Tilt -18.5%
4423º General ELO ranking 7726º
139º Country ELO ranking 308º
ELO win probability
64.6%
Villanovense
23.1%
Draw
12.3%
CD Diocesano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
Villanovense
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
12.3%
Win probability
CD Diocesano
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Villanovense
-1%
-40%
CD Diocesano

Points and table prediction

Villanovense
Their league position
CD Diocesano
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
17º
33
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
UD Melilla
67
67
100%
Atlético B
63
63
100%
CDA Navalcarnero
60
60
100%
CP Cacereño
56
56
100%
Villanovense
50
50
0%
Gimnástica Segoviana
50
50
0%
CD Estepona
48
48
100%
CD Guadalajara
48
48
100%
Unión Adarve
47
47
100%
CD Atlético Paso
10º
42
42
10º
100%
CD Coria
13º
38
41
11º
34.5%
UD Montijo
12º
38
39
12º
17%
Cerdanyola FC
11º
39
39
13º
57.5%
Alcorcón B
15º
35
35
14º
0%
Leganés B
14º
35
35
15º
29.5%
CD Diocesano
16º
33
34
16º
48.5%
UD Yugo Socuéllamos
17º
32
32
17º
72%
CD Don Benito
18º
32
32
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Villanovense
CD Diocesano
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Villanovense
CD Diocesano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Villanovense
Villanovense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2023
CPC
CP Cacereño
1 - 0
Villanovense
VIL
47%
26%
27%
46 45 1 0
11 Feb. 2023
LEG
Leganés B
1 - 2
Villanovense
VIL
35%
28%
37%
45 41 4 +1
05 Feb. 2023
VIL
Villanovense
1 - 0
CD Atlético Paso
PAS
58%
26%
16%
45 36 9 0
29 Jan. 2023
MEL
UD Melilla
1 - 1
Villanovense
VIL
54%
25%
21%
44 48 4 +1
22 Jan. 2023
VIL
Villanovense
1 - 0
CDA Navalcarnero
NAV
38%
29%
34%
44 44 0 0

Matches

CD Diocesano
CD Diocesano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 2023
CDD
CD Diocesano
1 - 1
CD Atlético Paso
PAS
33%
25%
42%
30 39 9 0
12 Feb. 2023
MEL
UD Melilla
3 - 1
CD Diocesano
CDD
76%
17%
7%
31 48 17 -1
04 Feb. 2023
CDD
CD Diocesano
3 - 4
CDA Navalcarnero
NAV
21%
26%
53%
32 44 12 -1
28 Jan. 2023
ALC
Alcorcón B
1 - 0
CD Diocesano
CDD
42%
25%
33%
32 32 0 0
22 Jan. 2023
CDD
CD Diocesano
0 - 1
Cerdanyola FC
CER
46%
24%
30%
33 35 2 -1
X