Segunda B Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Villanovense vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
BET
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CAD
2 - 0
VIL
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
ARR
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
CRD
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
VIL
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
HUE
2 - 2
ATH
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ATH
4 - 1
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FUE
1 - 0
ATH
34%
29%
36%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ATH
3 - 0
GET
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ATB
0 - 3
ATH
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |