Villafames vs Moro A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BET
0 - 0
VIL
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 4
CAB
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 2
VIL
78%
13%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
5 - 4
EST
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 0
VIL
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Moro A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
ORP
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 3
MOR
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 2
POB
18%
19%
64%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 0
MOR
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 2
BNC
18%
19%
64%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |