Villafames vs Moro A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 2
VIL
30%
22%
48%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
RAF
32%
21%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAJ
24%
21%
56%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIN
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SEM
1 - 3
VIL
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Moro A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAB
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ORP
3 - 1
MOR
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 2
MOR
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
OND
51%
21%
28%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
MOR
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |