Villafames vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 4
ATL
21%
21%
58%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SEM
3 - 1
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
COS
1 - 5
VIL
38%
22%
41%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 8
RAF
13%
17%
69%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SLA
2 - 0
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CIN
4 - 1
TRA
12%
18%
70%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAT
2 - 0
CIN
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CIN
0 - 2
ORP
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
CIN
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 1
MOR
21%
22%
58%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |