Tous vs Idella A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
TOU
32%
22%
47%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 1
CHE
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TOU
4 - 0
SPO
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SEN
0 - 4
TOU
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 1
MON
62%
20%
19%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Idella A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
IDE
3 - 1
SEN
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
IDE
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
IDE
2 - 0
POB
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UDC
1 - 2
IDE
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LAL
3 - 2
IDE
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |