Primera RFEF Grupo I. Jor. 18

CF Talavera vs AD Ceuta FC analysis

CF Talavera AD Ceuta FC
48 ELO 46
-5.7% Tilt -9%
3777º General ELO ranking 1960º
110º Country ELO ranking 63º
ELO win probability
53.1%
CF Talavera
24.4%
Draw
22.5%
AD Ceuta FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
CF Talavera
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.5%
Win probability
AD Ceuta FC
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CF Talavera
-40%
+23%
AD Ceuta FC

Points and table prediction

CF Talavera
Their league position
AD Ceuta FC
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
15º
20º
20º
45
11º
20º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Racing Ferrol
75
75
100%
Alcorcón
74
74
100%
RM Castilla
69
69
100%
RC Deportivo
67
67
100%
Celta Fortuna
59
59
0%
Linares Deportivo
59
59
0%
Unionistas CF
56
56
100%
Córdoba CF
54
54
0%
AD Mérida
54
54
0%
Cultural Leonesa
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Fuenlabrada
11º
46
46
11º
100%
AD Ceuta FC
12º
45
45
12º
0%
San Fernando CD
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Rayo Majadahonda
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Algeciras CF
15º
44
44
15º
100%
UD Sanse
17º
43
43
16º
0%
CD Badajoz
16º
43
43
17º
0%
RB Linense
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Pontevedra
19º
36
36
19º
100%
CF Talavera
20º
33
33
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
CF Talavera
AD Ceuta FC
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

CF Talavera
AD Ceuta FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CF Talavera
CF Talavera
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2022
TAL
CF Talavera
0 - 0
San Fernando CD
SAN
41%
26%
33%
48 49 1 0
10 Dec. 2022
RMC
RM Castilla
0 - 0
CF Talavera
TAL
78%
15%
7%
48 62 14 0
07 Dec. 2022
TAL
CF Talavera
1 - 0
Celta Fortuna
CEL
25%
25%
50%
47 57 10 +1
04 Dec. 2022
SSR
UD Sanse
0 - 2
CF Talavera
TAL
60%
24%
16%
46 55 9 +1
27 Nov. 2022
TAL
CF Talavera
0 - 0
RB Linense
BAL
33%
28%
39%
45 54 9 +1

Matches

AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 2023
CEU
AD Ceuta FC
1 - 0
Elche
ELC
7%
15%
78%
45 75 30 0
21 Dec. 2022
CEU
AD Ceuta FC
3 - 2
UD Ibiza
IBI
14%
21%
65%
44 59 15 +1
18 Dec. 2022
CEU
AD Ceuta FC
1 - 2
RC Deportivo
DEP
10%
23%
67%
44 68 24 0
11 Dec. 2022
LIN
Linares Deportivo
2 - 2
AD Ceuta FC
CEU
65%
23%
12%
44 58 14 0
08 Dec. 2022
CEU
AD Ceuta FC
3 - 1
UD Sanse
SSR
24%
27%
50%
42 54 12 +2
X