Belenenses SAD vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 3
ESA
48%
26%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ACV
2 - 1
BEL
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 2
BEN
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
BEL
18%
25%
58%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
OLH
0 - 2
BEL
10%
19%
72%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 0
ALP
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAC
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
CAM
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
BOA
4%
10%
87%
|
20 | 73 | 53 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RES
1 - 2
MAC
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |