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Pref. Murcia. Matchday 16

CF Molina Independiente Ceutí
11 ELO 10
32% Tilt -49%
7844º General ELO ranking 8067º
847º Country ELO ranking 995º
ELO win probability
69.4%
CF Molina
21%
Draw
9.7%
Independiente Ceutí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
CF Molina
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
9.7%
Win probability
Independiente Ceutí
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CF Molina
+46%
-26%
Independiente Ceutí

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Caravaca
40
44
79%
Abarán CF
39
42
64%
Bala Azul
37
39
43%
Mar Menor
36
39
50%
CF Molina
31
34
47%
Balsicas Atlético
29
32
32%
El Raal
28
32
39%
Cehegin
27
30
55%
Atletico Cabezo de Torres
25
28
73%
EF Alhama
10º
19
20
11º
42%
Independiente Ceutí
11º
18
20
10º
44%
Juvenia
12º
6
8
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
CF Molina
Independiente Ceutí
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

CF Molina
MOL
Independiente Ceutí
CEU
Caravaca
CAR
Cehegin
CLU
Atletico Cabezo de Torres
CDT
EF Alhama
EFA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CF Molina
CF Molina
1%
X%
2%
ELO MOL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2021
MOL
CF Molina
2 - 1
Abarán CF
ABA
46%
27%
27%
157 159 -2 +1
27 Mar. 2021
MME
Mar Menor
0 - 3
CF Molina
MOL
46%
27%
27%
156 157 1 +1
24 Mar. 2021
MOL
CF Molina
2 - 2
Balsicas Atlético
BAL
46%
27%
27%
156 159 -3 0
21 Mar. 2021
MOL
CF Molina
0 - 1
Cehegin
CLU
46%
27%
27%
157 156 1 -1
17 Mar. 2021
MOL
CF Molina
1 - 4
El Raal
RAA
45%
27%
28%
158 154 4 -1

Matches

Independiente Ceutí
Independiente Ceutí
1%
X%
2%
ELO CEU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2021
RAA
El Raal
5 - 0
Independiente Ceutí
CEU
46%
27%
27%
156 156 0 -2
27 Mar. 2021
CEU
Independiente Ceutí
4 - 1
Cehegin
CLU
46%
27%
27%
154 157 -3 +1
21 Mar. 2021
CAR
Caravaca
3 - 0
Independiente Ceutí
CEU
47%
27%
26%
155 230 75 -1
13 Mar. 2021
CEU
Independiente Ceutí
0 - 1
CF Molina
MOL
46%
27%
27%
156 157 -1 -1
06 Mar. 2021
CDT
Atletico Cabezo de Torres
1 - 1
Independiente Ceutí
CEU
46%
27%
27%
156 156 0 0