Alfaro B vs CD San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-101%
+295%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 0
SDS
56%
21%
23%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALD
1 - 0
CFC
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 1
BAL
46%
23%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AUT
5 - 0
CFC
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CDS
0 - 0
CFC
22%
20%
58%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
CDS
0 - 2
ALD
24%
20%
56%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CEN
4 - 1
CDS
76%
16%
9%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 0
CDS
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CDS
1 - 2
AUT
8%
15%
77%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CDS
0 - 0
CFC
22%
20%
58%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +1 |