CF Benfica vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
1DE
3 - 0
CFB
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CFB
2 - 4
SIN
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
OPE
3 - 1
CFB
62%
22%
17%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CFB
0 - 1
CAS
28%
25%
48%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PRA
4 - 1
CFB
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
IDE
0 - 0
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
IDE
1 - 0
1DE
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PRA
3 - 1
IDE
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
IDE
2 - 2
SIN
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
OEL
1 - 1
IDE
56%
22%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |