CF Alcalá vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 1
ALC
41%
23%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
CAT
78%
14%
9%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 1
ALC
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALC
4 - 0
MAT
78%
14%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 6
ALC
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 1
BEN
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
IBA
2 - 2
CIN
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 1
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
POB
2 - 1
CIN
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 0
CIN
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |