noscript image

Pref. Murcia. Matchday 19

Independiente Ceutí El Raal
10 ELO 11
15% Tilt 33%
8067º General ELO ranking 7959º
995º Country ELO ranking 940º
ELO win probability
43.4%
Independiente Ceutí
24.4%
Draw
32.2%
El Raal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
Independiente Ceutí
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.2%
Win probability
El Raal
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Independiente Ceutí
-13%
-6%
El Raal

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Caravaca
40
44
48%
Abarán CF
39
43
52%
Bala Azul
37
39
55%
Mar Menor
36
39
56%
CF Molina
31
34
56%
Balsicas Atlético
29
33
42%
El Raal
28
31
36%
Cehegin
27
30
38%
Atletico Cabezo de Torres
25
27
80%
EF Alhama
10º
19
21
10º
58%
Independiente Ceutí
11º
18
20
11º
57%
Juvenia
12º
6
8
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Independiente Ceutí
El Raal
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

El Raal
RAA
Independiente Ceutí
CEU
Mar Menor
MME
Juvenia
JUV
Cehegin
CLU
Caravaca
CAR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Independiente Ceutí
Independiente Ceutí
1%
X%
2%
ELO CEU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2021
CEU
Independiente Ceutí
1 - 1
Bala Azul
BAL
46%
27%
27%
152 151 1 0
24 Apr. 2021
BAL
Balsicas Atlético
2 - 1
Independiente Ceutí
CEU
45%
27%
28%
153 158 5 -1
17 Apr. 2021
ABA
Abarán CF
3 - 1
Independiente Ceutí
CEU
45%
27%
28%
154 158 4 -1
31 Mar. 2021
RAA
El Raal
5 - 0
Independiente Ceutí
CEU
46%
27%
27%
156 156 0 -2
27 Mar. 2021
CEU
Independiente Ceutí
4 - 1
Cehegin
CLU
46%
27%
27%
154 157 -3 +1

Matches

El Raal
El Raal
1%
X%
2%
ELO RAA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2021
RAA
El Raal
0 - 1
CF Molina
MOL
46%
27%
27%
158 157 1 -1
17 Apr. 2021
RAA
El Raal
1 - 1
EF Alhama
EFA
44%
27%
29%
157 252 -95 0
31 Mar. 2021
RAA
El Raal
5 - 0
Independiente Ceutí
CEU
46%
27%
27%
156 156 0 +2
28 Mar. 2021
CAR
Caravaca
1 - 1
El Raal
RAA
47%
27%
26%
156 231 75 0
20 Mar. 2021
RAA
El Raal
2 - 1
Atletico Cabezo de Torres
CDT
46%
27%
27%
155 157 -2 +1