Cesena Sub 19 vs Spezia Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 3
CES
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CES
4 - 0
BEN
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
REG
2 - 1
CES
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CES
4 - 2
FRO
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
10%
17%
73%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 2
FRO
37%
24%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
SPE
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CCS
0 - 1
SPE
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 1
ASC
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SAL
0 - 4
SPE
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |