Cesena U19 vs Crotone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
3º
1º
22
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PIS
1 - 2
CES
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
TER
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CES
4 - 1
CCS
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 2
CES
28%
21%
51%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MNP
1 - 6
CES
14%
17%
69%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CRO
3 - 3
SAL
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PES
7 - 1
CRO
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MNP
0 - 0
CRO
46%
21%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 2
ASC
19%
21%
61%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 3
VIR
20%
21%
60%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |