Cesarense vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
51.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
VAR
3 - 0
CES
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CES
1 - 0
MIR
43%
28%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 2
CES
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
FAF
31%
29%
40%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 1
CES
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 0
LUS
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FAM
2 - 1
VAR
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 1
FAM
24%
28%
48%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FAM
5 - 0
SOU
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FAF
0 - 0
FAM
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |