Cerveira vs Mirandela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VIZ
3 - 1
CER
77%
16%
7%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FAF
4 - 0
CER
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
OSL
2 - 3
CER
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CER
1 - 3
COV
12%
20%
68%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
CER
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
MIR
55%
26%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 1
BRA
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
MIR
39%
29%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 1
CEL
10%
19%
71%
|
41 | 83 | 42 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 2
EST
11%
20%
69%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |