Cerro Porteño vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
RPA
0 - 2
CCP
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
CCP
2 - 1
LIB
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
CCP
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CCP
0 - 1
GEN
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
LIB
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 1
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
AME
2 - 1
SPO
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 0
LQE
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |