Cerro Porteño vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
CCP
4 - 1
SPT
64%
24%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
LQE
3 - 1
CCP
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
CCP
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 0
TAC
60%
23%
16%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 0
LFC
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 2
COR
33%
26%
40%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TAC
2 - 0
RAC
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
RAC
3 - 2
ATE
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
RAC
3 - 3
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |