Cerro Porteño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
RÑU
1 - 0
CCP
15%
23%
62%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
CCP
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 1
CCP
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
CCP
2 - 1
12O
59%
24%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 3
NAC
5%
13%
83%
|
77 | 15 | 62 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
AME
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
12O
1 - 2
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
RES
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
JLM
1 - 2
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |