Cerro Porteño vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
CCP
3 - 3
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
LQE
4 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CCP
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
71%
20%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
AME
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAN
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 3
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
RÑU
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |