Cerro Porteño vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
LQE
3 - 3
CCP
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 0
AME
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
12O
0 - 2
CCP
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CCP
3 - 0
RPA
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
2 - 1
GUA
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
LIB
0 - 1
OLI
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |