Cerro Porteño vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.7%
2-0
16%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
LQE
2 - 3
CCP
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 2
CCP
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
CCP
3 - 3
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
LQE
4 - 1
CCP
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
AME
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 1
IND
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 0
IND
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
IND
4 - 4
RÑU
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
IND
50%
28%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |