Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 6-2
Cerro Porteño vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
CCP
0 - 0
SPT
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
CCP
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
CCP
0 - 4
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
CCP
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CCP
2 - 1
LQE
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
BOS
0 - 1
PLA
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 2
BOS
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BOS
3 - 1
ETS
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 0
BOS
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 1
BOS
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |