Cerro Largo vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CEL
3 - 1
PLA
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
CEL
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 0
CEL
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 1
PEÑ
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 3
MWA
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
REN
1 - 3
PRO
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
DEP
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 3
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
NAC
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
DAN
0 - 1
PRO
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |