Cerro Largo vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SUD
1 - 1
CEL
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 1
ALB
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CSY
1 - 2
CEL
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 0
DEP
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 0
CEL
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 1
TAC
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CEN
1 - 0
JUV
33%
29%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CSC
2 - 2
JUV
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
JUV
4 - 2
SUD
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 0
JUV
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |