Cerrito vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ATE
0 - 2
CSC
40%
26%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
CSC
1 - 1
CSY
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 2
CSC
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CSC
2 - 1
ALB
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
TAC
1 - 1
CSC
31%
28%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 2
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 0
RIV
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 1
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LFC
3 - 2
RIV
60%
21%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
RIV
51%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |